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Coronavirus: How likely am I to catch Covid-19?

As of Monday lunchtime, Spain had registered a total of 33,089 coronavirus cases, with the country's death toll standing at 2,182.

Coronavirus: How likely am I to catch Covid-19?

Coronavirus cases still haven’t reached their peak in Spain and “the worst is yet to come”, warned the country’s prime minster, Pedro Sánchez, on Saturday evening. Covid-19 is a disease that manifests itself in different ways, with its symptoms ranging from the minor to the serious. In Spain, there have so far been a total of 33,089 positive tests, leading to a death toll of 2,182.

Coronavirus has transmissibility rate of 1.4 to 2.5

The likelihood of catching the coronavirus depends from person to person; for example, if you follow government and health-authority advice not to leave the house, you will avoid close contact with others and, as a result, will be less exposed to the possibility of infection, which takes place via the nose, eyes or mouth.

According to the World Health Organization, however, Covid-19 has a transmissibility of “between 1.4 to and 2.5” - although it is thought that the top end of this scale may turn out to be as a high as 3. This figure represents the number of people to whom a person carrying the coronavirus can be expected to directly spread it.

As this is a new virus, the statistics on it are still at a formative stage; only after the pandemic has subsided will it be possible to assess its virulence with greater certainty. To put things into approximate context, though, common flu has a transmissibility of 1.3, meaning that the coronavirus is around twice as contagious.

Covid-19 has affected 0.07% of Spain's population - officially

Spain has almost 47 million inhabitants, so as the official figures currently stand, the coronavirus has only affected about 0.07% of the population. However, the problem with this percentage is that many people in the country have not been tested, particularly in Madrid.

Indeed, the capital’s mortality rate of roughly 10% of all its Covid-19 sufferers - far higher than in China and the rest of Europe, where it is 4% and 0.7%, respectively - is indicative of a large amount of undetected cases.

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