A military intelligence expert’s warning: “If you cut the Strait of Hormuz, the world’s richest neighbors will be pissed off”

Iran launched missiles toward Israeli territory on Tuesday morning, following what had been one of the calmest nights since the previous wave of escalation in the Middle East. According to The Times of Israel, ten projectiles were fired but reportedly caused no casualties or damage.

“Israel’s defense systems responded to the launch, attempting to intercept the incoming projectiles,” the military said in a statement around 8:35 a.m., shortly after urging civilians to seek shelter. In Tel Aviv, the barrage triggered air raid sirens. In Jerusalem, no alarms were sounded, though distant explosions were heard—likely from mid-air interceptions.

Meanwhile, at the G-7 Summit in Canada, Donald Trump abruptly left the international meeting and announced plans to convene the U.S. National Security Council (NSC) in Washington within hours. He also called for the evacuation of U.S. personnel from Tehran.

As tensions between Israel and Iran rise, attention has also shifted to the broader strategic stakes, especially in the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow waterway between Oman and Iran remains the most critical maritime route for global oil transport. Speaking to AS, a military intelligence analyst from Shadow Lynx noted, “If you cut off the Strait of Hormuz, the richest neighbors in the world will get angry.” The analyst added that the suspected launch point of the missiles was approximately 150 kilometers from Dubai’s Palm Jumeirah luxury complex.

The Strait of Hormuz is not only a key conduit for nearly 20% of the world’s oil supply but also for the movement of luxury vehicles, freight shipments, and construction materials. Any disruption to this route could significantly raise transportation and insurance costs, compounded by the threat of military escalation involving mines, drones, or missile attacks.

Some reports suggest that the vessel involved in the launch may have masked its presence by sailing in the wake of an oil tanker while keeping its Automatic Identification System (AIS) turned off. This GPS- and VHF-based system is designed to improve maritime safety by broadcasting navigational and identification data to other vessels and coastal stations. When deactivated, it can prevent detection—but also raises serious risks, both militarily and commercially.

Key questions remain unanswered: How long had the vessel been in the area? Why did no one raise the alarm beforehand? Circumnavigating the Arabian Peninsula by sea takes an oil tanker approximately 10 to 14 days, depending on speed, route, and sea conditions—not including loading, unloading, or layovers.

The Strait of Hormuz also lies near major oil and gas reserves, including those off the coast of Qatar, an ally of Iran. Regional instability, including increased Houthi activity, has further raised concerns among analysts about the potential for widespread disruption.

Related stories

Health

Scientists reveal how old 'old' really is

Nutrition

More reasons to dive into Mediterranean diet

In another sign of mounting tensions, the United States has dispatched 25 tanker aircraft to Europe and the Middle East. Two have arrived at Aviano Air Base in Italy; 11 are stationed at Morón Air Base in Seville; four are at Ramstein in Germany; four in Prestwick, Scotland; one in Tallinn, Estonia; and three are reportedly en route to the Middle East.

Get your game on! Whether you’re into NFL touchdowns, NBA buzzer-beaters, world-class soccer goals, or MLB home runs, our app has it all. Dive into live coverage, expert insights, breaking news, exclusive videos, and more – plus, stay updated on the latest in current affairs and entertainment. Download now for all-access coverage, right at your fingertips – anytime, anywhere.