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Housing market: Will home prices drop in 2023 in California?

It will be fascinating to watch where housing values are in late January after a month of heavy rainfall in Northern California.

Goldman Sachs sees 2008-style drop in home prices for these four markets

In order to help people plan for the next year, the California Association of Realtors publishes the California Housing Market Forecast every December. According to the C.A.R., this year’s housing market is weaker than usual because a combination of factors (including a slight recession and persistently high-interest rates) is reducing homebuyers’ capacity to purchase new properties.

According to data released by C.A.R. in December, property prices in California decreased. But January’s most recent numbers indicate prices are again finding support. We can only speculate that housing values would fall much lower given the high expenses of repairing and recovering from the effects of floods, coastal erosion, mudslides, tree falls, company closures, and other disasters.

This is still a problem with homes. Buyers can’t afford California’s high property prices despite pent-up solid demand. As a result, many people have departed for places where housing is far more affordable. Fewer purchasers are predicted over the next three to six months as unemployment rises and firm profits fall (the tech industry continues to take a blow).

Instability with the FED and inflation likely to affect housing prices

Greater consumer confidence is at odds with persistent price increases and the Federal Reserve’s likely inability to reduce interest rates. But do you think it will put off Californian consumers? There is always a high demand for goods and services in California.

California’s real estate agents and homebuyers may celebrate a 1.1% increase in sales from November to December. In addition, for the fourth month in a row, home prices have fallen, with December’s decrease of 4 percent from November’s median price of $774,580, marking yet another monthly low. The cost has dropped by 2.8% since December of last year.

Even though house prices have increased in many parts of California, home sales will continue to fall. Such as:

  • The median price of a property in Los Angeles County increased by 0.6% in October to $854,280, while sales fell by 39.8%.
  • In October 2022, the median price in San Bernardino County will be $465,000, up from the previous month’s median price of $435,000.
  • The typical home price in San Diego County increased to $860,000 in October 2022, a 1.2% increase over the previous month.

In particular, bigger counties like San Diego County would feel the effects of increased mortgage rates and property prices more strongly than the statewide median price.

Even while the housing market is evolving and the Zillow house value index is altering in many locations, many other experts are advocating for a slower increase in property prices than we have seen since the COVID-19 pandemic.


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