Scientists are pointing out that people born in these years live longer: Are you one of them?
According to the latest research on longevity, these people are experiencing an “unprecedented postponement of mortality.”
Immortality is one of the human desires. And achieving greater longevity is a step in the right direction. Evolution has done, and continues to do, part of the work, but improvements in living conditions and medicine mean that people in each generation live a little longer than the previous one. And now it seems that scientists have found the right range.
A study from the University of Georgia claims that individuals born between 1910 and 1950 could experience exceptional longevity. “As they age, their longevity rates are expected to increase. The Gompertz maximum age (GMA), which indicates the upper limit of human life expectancy, for people born in this cohort could increase by up to 10 years,” predicts professor and leader of the research, David McCarthy, for Live Science magazine.
To reach this conclusion, scientists have analyzed mortality data from hundreds of millions of people from 19 industrialized countries who were born between the 18th and 20th centuries, specifically up to 1969. The method to speed up the processing of the large amount of information was that of a mathematical model that compared the difference between mortality rates of people between 50 and 100 years old with different birth dates.
In this way, they observed that people conceived between 1910 and 1950 did not present drastic changes in mortality at advanced ages that were a consequence of a lower probability of death at early ages. Therefore, according to the researchers, this means that the maximum human life span has not yet been reached, since this rate ratio is balanced. That is, fewer people die prematurely and also at ages that have historically been “octogenarians.”
On the way to breaking the record
With these data in hand, it is not surprising that the human race has surpassed the longevity record. The Frenchwoman Jeanne Calment died in 1997 at the age of 122, and holds this record. The oldest known man was Jiroemon Kimura from Japan, who died in 2013 at the age of 116.
But the life expectancy is estimated to reach 130 years or more. According to a report by the World Economic Forum, there is only a 13% chance that any given person will reach that age in this century. However, by 2080, approximately 300,000 people are expected to have lived to be 110 years old, which would increase the probability.
For McCarthy, this record-breaking potential will only happen if current policies continue to support the health and well-being of older people in an environmentally and economically stable environment. In addition, the estimates in this study are purely mathematical and do not take into account biological factors of aging or future medical advances. Examples of these could be the emergence of age-related diseases, such as cancer or Alzheimer’s, or progress in biomedicine.
Yet the future predicts greater longevity, and societies will tend to last longer. A “profound” factor, according to McCarthy, which will imply a major restructuring of national economies and individual lives.
*This article was written in Spanish and translated with the help of AI.
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