Will Hurricane Lorena hit the U.S.? Experts reveal its projected path
Lorena has intensified into a Category 1 storm as it approaches the Mexican coast and will produce heavy rains from Tuesday through Saturday.
Lorena is one of two hurricanes hurtling towards the coast of Mexico, bringing with them, very heavy to intense rainfall, winds and high waves, as well as possible hail in certain areas.
The National Water Commission (Conagua) reports that Hurricane Lorena intensified into a Category 1 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale, packing sustained winds of up to 75 mph and gusts reaching 93 mph. The system is moving northwest at roughly 15 mph and is expected to strengthen into a Category 2 hurricane by Wednesday night/early Thursday morning.
Lorena is now a hurricane and is on track to bring tropical moisture to parts of Arizona, New Mexico and Texas. This will both help the drought situation and bring the threat of flash flooding. Make sure you're prepared. https://t.co/gE8wDqv0fw pic.twitter.com/9yxK5jMzD1
— The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) September 3, 2025
Live track of Hurricane Lorena
As of 8:00 a.m. EST, Lorena was located about 100 miles southwest of Cabo San Lucas and 215 miles south-southeast of Cabo San Lázaro, both in Baja California Sur.
Lorena is forecast to unleash torrential rainfall across parts of northwestern Mexico:
- Baja California Sur (central and southern regions), Sonora (central and southeastern areas), and Sinaloa could see between 3 to 6 inches of rain.
- Baja California, Nayarit, and Jalisco may receive 2 to 3 inches. These downpours could trigger flash flooding, landslides, and dangerous runoff in low-lying areas.
Wind gusts are expected to reach: 62 to 75 mph along the southern coast of Baja California Sur, and 25 - 37 mph across coastal areas of Sonora, Sinaloa, and Jalisco, as well as the Gulf of California.
A tropical storm warning remains in effect from Santa Fe to Cabo San Lázaro. Watches are also in place from Cabo San Lázaro to Punta Abreojos, and from Cabo San Lucas to Santa Fe.
La animación indica las condiciones actuales del #Huracán categoria 1 en la escala Saffir-Simpson, #Lorena. 🧐 pic.twitter.com/PpINTKisUQ
— CONAGUA Clima (@conagua_clima) September 3, 2025
When could Hurricane Lorena make landfall?
According to Conagua, Lorena could intensify into a Category 2 hurricane and make landfall Friday morning in western Baja California Sur. From there, it’s expected to cross the Baja Peninsula and reach the coast of Sonora by Saturday.
However, the US National Hurricane Center notes that Lorena may linger longer over the Pacific, meaning its path and strength could still shift. Residents and local authorities are urged to stay alert and monitor official updates closely.
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