Bears - Chiefs betting trends: Pick, odds, point spread, over/under prediction | NFL preseason week 3
Chicago Bears fans have reason to be hopeful with their preseason success, but the Kansas City Chiefs are the mark to be measured by in the NFL.
The Chicago Bears and Kansas City Chiefs are squaring off tonight at GEHA Field, but if you were hoping for a showdown between Caleb Williams and Patrick Mahomes, you’ll have to wait. Neither of these quarterbacks is expected to take the field tonight, which is a bit of a letdown, but let’s be honest, preseason games are never really about the big names. Instead, it’s about those gritty battles between second-stringers, guys fighting for a roster spot, and the often-overlooked nuances that can make or break a team’s depth.
Chicago’s preseason has been nothing short of dominant. With a spotless 3-0 record, the Bears have outscored their last two opponents by a combined 44-3 in the second half. That’s the kind of stat that makes you sit up and take notice, especially when you consider that this success has come with a mix of backups and potential starters making a case for themselves. So, when we talk about tonight’s game against the Chiefs, the smart money is leaning toward Chicago, and for good reason.
Bears vs. Chiefs Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bears | -1.5 | 32.5 | -125 |
| Chiefs | +1.5 | 32.5 | +105 |
Bears vs. Chiefs Betting Trends
- 43% of bets and 68% of the money are on the Bears to cover the spread.
- 52% of bets and 52% of the money are on the under.
The spread opened with the Bears favored by 2.5 points, but it’s since tightened to 1.5, with most of the early action going Chicago’s way. It’s easy to see why. Even though it’s the preseason, and the usual caveats apply, the Bears have shown a level of consistency that’s hard to ignore. And with the total points line dropping slightly from its opening at 35.5, this game could shape up to be a defensive grind - something Chicago seems well-prepared for.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Bears are looking like a force to be reckoned with. Last season, they finished strong, and they’ve carried that momentum into the preseason. Their defense has been suffocating, holding Cincinnati to just 3.8 yards per play last week and limiting Buffalo to a paltry 200 yards on 65 plays. And let’s not forget, the Bengals and Bills only reached the red zone twice combined. That’s the kind of stinginess on defense that wins games, preseason or not.
What’s even more impressive is that the Bears have been doing all this without their top pass rushers. Despite that, they’ve racked up nine sacks after the first quarter across their first three preseason games. Given that one of those games against the Texans got cut short due to weather, that’s a pretty frightening stat if you’re on the other side of the ball. Now, Kansas City’s backup offensive line, which has already given up eight sacks in two games, has to face this relentless Chicago front. It could get ugly fast.
Offensively, the Bears have been just as intriguing. Tyson Bagent has looked sharp, completing 73% of his passes and averaging 7.9 yards per attempt. He’s tossed two touchdowns and shown a knack for keeping the chains moving. Meanwhile, Austin Reed and Brett Rypien are locked in a tight battle for the third quarterback spot, each showing flashes of potential. Together, they’ve racked up nine plays of 15 yards or more, proof positive of their ability to push the ball downfield. Overall, this offense is clicking, averaging a healthy 6.6 yards per play, even without Williams taking the majority of snaps.
It’s also worth keeping in mind that Kansas City tends to take its foot off the gas in the preseason, especially in Week 3. Last year, Andy Reid and defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo rested their defensive starters, giving their young players and roster hopefuls a chance to show what they could do. The result? The Chiefs gave up 32 points. If they follow a similar script tonight, Chicago’s offense could have a field day.
So, what’s the play here? While Carson Wentz might see some early action for the Chiefs, it’s hard to imagine that will be enough to change the outcome. The Bears have been the second-half kings this preseason, and with their depth on both sides of the ball, they’re primed to wrap up their August schedule with a perfect 4-0 record. If you’re betting, take Chicago to cover the spread, even if it drops to -1. This one feels like a no-brainer.