Chiefs - Raiders: Odds and predictions | Who is the favorite in the NFL Week 11 game?

Let’s look closer at the upcoming game between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Las Vegas Raiders. The Chiefs, who recently suffered a rare home loss, are about to hit the road to face the Raiders, who have posed some challenges for those trying to predict the outcome of previous games.

When we analyze the historical trends, we see a notable pattern emerge for away favorites with a spread greater than minus 9. Since 2015, teams fitting this description have recorded a 47.8% success rate. While this may not be a decisive figure, it does provide a nuanced perspective for bettors to consider. Furthermore, when we delve deeper into the total points scored in games featuring away favorites of minus 9 or higher, the trend leans towards the under, with a 63.8% rate.

Turning our attention to the Chiefs, their defense has been a standout feature, holding opponents to minimal yardage in recent outings. They have limited Philadelphia to 238 yards, Miami to a mere 22 yards, and Denver to 240 yards. With a formidable sack differential of 36 for the season, the Chiefs’ defense has been a key factor in their success.

When we examine the Chiefs’ track record following a home loss, we can see that they have demonstrated resilience by covering the spread in their last five games in this scenario, dating back to 2019. This historical trend could sway bettors towards favoring the Chiefs in this matchup.

However, despite their offensive output, the Raiders have proven to be challenging to predict in recent weeks. Although they scored 30 points against the Giants, they only gained 334 yards. In subsequent matchups against the Jets and Miami, the Raiders’ offensive performance remained below expectations, raising questions about their consistency.

It’s essential to acknowledge recent losses when betting against the Raiders. Therefore, caution is advised, emphasizing the need to learn from past experiences.

In conclusion, as we enjoy post-Thanksgiving festivities, the Chiefs-Raiders matchup presents intriguing dynamics for bettors. Historical trends, defensive prowess, and offensive consistency all factor into the decision-making process. It may be a good idea to consider a potential underscore, emphasizing the Chiefs’ defensive strength while also considering the Raiders’ recent offensive performances.

Chiefs - Raiders: Odds