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US ELECTION

US Election 2020: who is in lead? Biden or Trump?

With just a day remaining before Americans go to the polls to elect the new president, we look at how both candidates are faring in last minute opinion polls.

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(COMBO) This combination of pictures created on October 30, 2020 shows Democratic presidential nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden delivers remarks on Covid-19 at The Queen theater on October 23, 2020 in Wilmington, Delaware and US President Dona
ANGELA WEISSAFP

As the countdown to US Election day begins in earnest it's Democrat candidate Joe Biden who still holds an advantage in the latest opinion poll.

Biden's lead over US President Donald Trump has widened a little in the final days of the 2020 campaign in three critical Rust Belt states that Trump narrowly won four years ago, according to Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls released latye on Sunday.

Biden leads Trump by 10 percentage points in Wisconsin and Michigan, and the presidential nominee is ahead by seven points in Pennsylvania. Biden has led Trump in all three states in every Reuters/Ipsos weekly poll that began in mid-September, and his leads have ticked higher in the each state over the past two weeks.

Reuters/Ipsos is polling likely voters in six states - Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina, Florida and Arizona - that will play critical roles in deciding whether Trump wins a second term in office or if Biden ousts him.

Below is a state-by-state look at Reuters/Ipsos findings, based on the online responses of likely voters:

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden(L) is seen departing church service at Saint Joseph on the Brandywine in Wilmington, Delaware on November 1, 2020. -
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Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden(L) is seen departing church service at Saint Joseph on the Brandywine in Wilmington, Delaware on November 1, 2020. -JIM WATSONAFP

MICHIGAN (Oct. 27 - Nov. 1):

* Voting for Biden: 52%

* Voting for Trump: 42%

* Biden was up 52%-43% the prior week.

* 37% of adults said they already had voted.

* 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 40% said Trump would be better.

* 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy.

44% said Biden would be better.

WISCONSIN (Oct. 27 - Nov. 1):

* Voting for Biden: 53%

* Voting for Trump: 43%

* Biden was up 53%-44% the prior week.

* 41% of adults said they already had voted.

* 52% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 38% said Trump would be better.

* 47% said Trump would be better at managing the economy.

45% said Biden would be better.

US President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at Rochester International Airport in Rochester, Minnesota on October 30, 2020. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP)
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US President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at Rochester International Airport in Rochester, Minnesota on October 30, 2020. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP)MANDEL NGANAFP

PENNSYLVANIA (Oct. 27 - Nov. 1):

* Voting for Biden: 51%

* Voting for Trump: 44%

* Biden was up 50%-45% the prior week.

* 25% of adults said they already had voted.

* 51% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 40% said Trump would be better.

* 48% said Trump would be better at managing the economy.

46% said Biden would be better.

FLORIDA (Oct. 21 - Oct. 27)

* Voting for Biden: 49%

* Voting for Trump: 47%

* A prior poll had showed Biden with an apparent lead of 50%-46%, with the margin being on the edge of the poll's credibility interval.

* 32% said they already had voted.

* 48% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.

* 52% said Trump would be better at managing the economy.

41% said Biden would be better.

ARIZONA (Oct. 21 - Oct. 27):

* Voting for Biden: 48%

* Voting for Trump: 46%

* The two are statistically tied as the margin is within the survey's credibility interval.

* A prior poll also showed a statistically even race, with 49% for Biden and 46% for Trump.

* 37% said they already had voted.

* 50% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 42% said Trump would be better.

* 50% said Trump would be better at managing the economy.

44% said Biden would be better.

NORTH CAROLINA (Oct. 21 - Oct. 27):

* Voting for Biden: 49%

* Voting for Trump: 48%

* Since the margin is within the poll's credibility interval, the race is statistically tied, as it was in the prior poll when Biden had 49% to Trump's 46%.

* 35% said they already had voted.

* 48% said Biden would be better at handling the coronavirus pandemic. 44% said Trump would be better.

* 51% said Trump would be better at managing the economy.

43% said Biden would be better.

NOTES

The Reuters/Ipsos opinion polls are conducted online in all six states in English, as well as in Spanish in Arizona and Florida.

* In Michigan, from Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, it gathered responses from 1,007 adults, including 654 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

* In Wisconsin, from Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, it gathered responses from 1,007 adults, including 696 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

* In Pennsylvania, from Oct. 27 to Nov. 1, it gathered responses from 1,006 adults, including 673 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

* In Florida, from Oct. 21 to Oct. 27, it gathered responses from 1,006 adults, including 704 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

* In Arizona, from Oct. 21 to Oct. 27, it gathered responses from 1,007 adults, including 714 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.

* In North Carolina, from Oct. 21 to Oct. 27, it gathered responses from 1,006 adults, including 647 likely voters, and had a credibility interval of 4 percentage points.