OSCARS 2024

Which movie will win Best Picture at 2024 Oscars? Nominees’ Filmaffinity ratings

Ahead of the 96th Academy Awards, we take a look at which movie would win Best Picture based on the nominees’ scores on Filmaffinity.

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Oppenheimer is the bookmakers’ runaway favourite to win Best Picture at this weekend’s Oscars - but if users of the internet movie database Filmaffinity had their way, the golden statuette would go elsewhere.

What are the Best Picture betting odds?

Per the odds comparison site Oddschecker, Oppenheimer is the 1/20 frontrunner for Best Picture, well ahead of the award’s nine other nominees.

Two of 2023′s other major blockbusters, Barbie and Killers of the Flower Moon, are priced at 66/1 and 100/1, respectively, while Maestro is all the way back at 150/1. Oppenheimer’s nearest challengers in the betting - The Zone of Interest and Poor Things - are both rated at 33/1.

Filmaffinity fans vote Oppenheimer into second

However, while bettors expect Academy members to hand top honours to Oppenheimer, Christopher Nolan’s $100m biopic about the man credited as the ‘father of the atomic bomb’, Filmaffinity’s ranking of the nominees suggests that public opinion favours Poor Things.

Of the candidates for Best Picture, it is Yorgos Lanthimos’ surreal comedy that has the highest rating on the website, whose more than one million registered users are asked to give movies a score out of 10. Poor Things is rated at 7.6, knocking Oppenheimer into second by a margin of 0.1 points.

2024 Best Picture nominees: Filmaffinity ratings

  • American Fiction - 6.7
  • Anatomy of a Fall - 7.4
  • Barbie - 5.9
  • The Holdovers - 7.4
  • Killers of the Flower Moon - 7.1
  • Maestro - 5.8
  • Oppenheimer - 7.5
  • Past Lives - 7.4
  • Poor Things - 7.6 (WINNER)
  • The Zone of Interest - 6.8

Watch the Oppenheimer trailer:

Watch the Poor Things trailer:

2024 Oscars: AS USA predictions

When it comes to the other main awards at the Oscars, this is what AS USA predicts will happen:

Best Director

  • Justine Triet (Anatomy of a Fall)
  • Martin Scorsese (Killers of the Flower Moon)
  • Christopher Nolan (Oppenheimer) - WINNER
  • Yorgos Lanthimos (Poor Things)
  • Jonathan Glazer (Zone of Interest)

Best Actress

  • Annette Bening (Nyad)
  • Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) - WINNER
  • Sandra Hüller (Anatomy of a Fall)
  • Carey Mulligan (Maestro)
  • Emma Stone (Poor Things)

Best Actor

  • Bradley Cooper (Maestro)
  • Colman Domingo (Rustin)
  • Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers)
  • Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) - WINNER
  • Jeffrey Wright (American Fiction)

Best Supporting Actor

  • Sterling K. Brown (American Fiction)
  • Robert De Niro (Killers of the Flower Moon)
  • Robert Downey Jr. (Oppenheimer) - WINNER
  • Ryan Gosling (Barbie)
  • Mark Ruffalo (Poor Things)

Best Supporting Actress

  • Emily Blunt (Oppenheimer)
  • Danielle Brooks (The Color Purple)
  • America Ferrera (Barbie)
  • Jodie Foster (Nyad)
  • Da’vine Joy Randolph (The Holdovers) - WINNER

2024 Oscars: when, where, how to watch?

Held at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles, California, the 96th Academy Awards take place on Sunday 10 March 2024. Hosted by the comedian Jimmy Kimmel, who is anchoring the Oscars for the fourth time, the ceremony is scheduled to begin at 4pm PT/7pm ET. Viewers in the United States will be able to watch on ABC.

You’ll also have the option of following live-text coverage of the Academy Awards, right here at AS USA. We’ll be building up to the event throughout Sunday, before bringing you details of every award winner as they are announced.

Which movies have the most nominations?

Oppenheimer leads the Oscars nominees with a total of 13 nods, one more than Poor Things. Killers of the Flower Moon is third, with 10 - making 2024 only the second year since 1978 in which three or more films have received double-digit nomination hauls.

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