Arizona has a population of just over 7,300,000, making it the 14th most populous state in the United States, and its population has been steadily growing over the past few decades.
 

Recent polls show Donald Trump slightly ahead, with 48.4% compared to Kamala Harris’s 46.6%. Since her nomination as a candidate, Harris has narrowed the gap with the Republican, which at its worst was as wide as 7 points.
 

Swing state election polling of Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump in the US (October data)

In the other swing states, the situation is similar, with the latest polls showing a tie. In all of them, Donald Trump is slightly ahead of Kamala Harris in the intention to vote. In the states of Arizona and Georgia, the difference is almost 2 points, which would make it difficult for the Democrats to win. Special attention to Georgia, with 16 electoral votes, which is considered one of the key states to win to be President of the United States.

In 2020, current President Joe Biden won in this state by only 10,000 votes.
 

In the 18 presidential elections held in the country since 1952, the Democratic Party has won in Arizona only twice (1996 and 2020).
 

The influx of skilled workers to the area is significant in electoral terms. Young people with higher qualifications and higher salaries tend to lean toward Democratic candidates.

This state has been one of the most favored by the Biden administration's investments, which have aimed to turn it into a powerhouse in the technology sector.
 

The unemployment rate is 3.5%, more than half a point below the national average, which stands at 4.1%.
 

2024 Presidential election polling of Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump

Overall polls reflect how Kamala Harris closed the gap with Trump, who was 2 points ahead last September. Right now, statistics consider both candidates with 48% of the share of registered and likely voters.

The Per Capita Gross Domestic Product is $65,057, well below the U.S. average of $76,476.
 

Arizona has the fourth-highest proportion of Latino population at 31.6%, only surpassed by New Mexico, California, and Texas.
 

Arizona is the only state among the seven so-called "swing states" that has a border with Mexico.
 

With a 600-kilometer border with Mexico, one of the most important issues for Arizona voters is immigration.
 

More than 1,800,000 people have already voted in the state of Arizona. With 43% of votes cast, it ranks as the seventh state in the country by the percentage of voters who have exercised their right to vote.
 

Arizona polls for the US Election 2024: Trump vs Harris

In 2020, Joe Biden won the electoral vote in Arizona in an incredibly close race, receiving 49.4% of the vote compared to Donald Trump’s 49.0%. Arizona is considered a swing state, which could be crucial for both candidates this year. It looks like it’s going to be another nail-biting day, according to the latest polls: 47.9% for Trump compared to 46.9% for Kamala Harris.

Arizona distributes a total of 11 electoral votes out of the 538 distributed across the country.