Blue Jays beware: the shocking stat that keeps the Dodgers in the game

The Toronto Blue Jays delivered a brilliant performance in Game 1 of the 2025 MLB World Series, defeating the Los Angeles Dodgers 11-4 at Rogers Centre. The game was packed with historic moments, highlighted by Alejandro Kirk’s home run during a nine-run sixth inning for the Canadians.

Still, winning Game 1 of the World Series doesn’t guarantee a championship. Throughout MLB history, teams that have taken the opener have gone on to win the title 127 times in the 196 editions of the Fall Classic.

Under the current 2-3-2 format, which gives home-field advantage to the higher seed, Game 1 winners have captured the championship in 69 of 102 series.

Despite Toronto’s dominant start, many expected the Dodgers—who swept the Milwaukee Brewers in the National League Championship Series—to be the favorites to lift the Commissioner’s Trophy. But there’s one intriguing stat that tilts the odds even further in the Blue Jays’ favor.

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According to MLB’s statistics service, teams that win their pennant in seven games have never lost the World Series against opponents who swept their respective Championship Series. If that trend holds, Toronto might just have everything in its favor to capture the 2025 World Series title.

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