Golden Globes film categories and favorites to win: These are our predictions for the 2026 ceremony
Ahead of the 83rd Golden Globe Awards on Sunday, we take a look at the movies that are expected to scoop honors.
After triumphing in major categories at the recent Critics’ Choice Awards, Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another is being tipped for further success at the 83rd Golden Globes this weekend.
The black comedy is up for an unmatched nine awards at the Beverly Hills gala, leading the nominations ahead of Sentimental Value and Sinners, which have earned eight and seven nods, respectively. Check out the full list of Golden Globe categories and nominees.
Only “huge upset” can stop One Battle
At the 31st Critics’ Choice Awards last Sunday, One Battle After Another was named Best Picture, with Anderson taking home Best Director. At the Golden Globes a week on, the movie is the bookmakers’ overwhelming favorite for Best Musical or Comedy, per Oddschecker betting data. “Barring a huge upset, it’ll take the win here”, agrees USA Today’s film critic Brian Truitt.
Anderson is odds-on to repeat his Critics’ Choice win in the director category - ahead of Jafar Panahi, whose thriller It Was Just an Accident is one of three foreign-language movies among the six Best Drama contenders.
“That’s a new record”
Alongside Panahi’s chiefly Persian-language movie, the Norwegian film Sentimental Value and Brazil’s The Secret Agent have also been nominated. All three are also up for Best Non-English Language Motion Picture, for which It Was Just an Accident is leading the betting.
And the 2026 Golden Globes’ markedly international flavor is further evidenced by the inclusion of two more non-English-language movies - South Korea’s No Other Choice and France’s Nouvelle Vague - in the Musical or Comedy category.
In recent years, writes awards expert Scott Feinberg in The Hollywood Reporter, “the presence of non-English-language films in the major Globes categories has been notably bigger than it used to be. But five of the 12 best picture slots? That’s a new record.”
The expectation, though, is that Best Drama will, like Best Musical or Comedy, go to one of the English-language entrants. Most likely Hamnet, which “looks difficult to beat”, writes Variety’s chief awards editor, Clayton Davis. Chloé Zhao’s historical drama is just ahead of Ryan Coogler’s horror film Sinners - which won four awards at the Critics’ Choice - in the pre-Globes betting.
Hamnet earned Best Actress honors for star Jessie Buckley last weekend, and the 36-year-old is now the bookmakers’ clear favorite to win the Golden Globe for the outstanding performance by a female lead in a drama.
In drama’s Best Actor race, meanwhile, The Secret Agent’s Wagner Moura and Sinners’ Michael B. Jordan are the frontrunners.
The first Brazilian man to be nominated in the category, Moura is following in the footsteps of compatriot Fernanda Torres. At last year’s awards, Torres became the first Brazilian to win a Golden Globe in an acting category, for her performance in Walter Salles’ I’m Still Here.
“This is Chalamet’s year”
In the Golden Globes’ Musical or Comedy section, Timothée Chalamet appears well placed to win Best Actor for his turn in Marty Supreme, a movie loosely based on the life of the table tennis player Marty Reisman. Named the top male actor at the Critics’ Choice Awards, Chalamet is being backed to edge out One Battle star Leonardo DiCaprio.
“Though DiCaprio has nabbed three Globes, this is Chalamet’s year: He has never been better than in ‘Marty’ as a self-absorbed jerk of a table tennis prodigy who leaves a path of destruction in his wake,” writes Truitt.
DiCaprio’s One Battle co-star Chase Infiniti is a contender for Best Actress after her breakout performance in her first big-screen role. “You could hardly ask for a better movie debut,” wrote The Guardian’s Steve Rose. However, Rose Byrne is widely seen is the favorite for the award, for her role in Mary Bronstein’s comedy-drama If I Had Legs I’d Kick You. The Australian is “the safest bet”, says Davis.
Betting favorite in each Golden Globes film category, per Oddschecker:
Best Motion Picture - Drama
- Hamnet
Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
- One Battle After Another
Best Motion Picture - Animated
- KPop Demon Hunters
Cinematic and Box Office Achievement
- Sinners
Best Motion Picture - Non‑English Language
- It Was Just an Accident
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama
- Jessie Buckley, Hamnet
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
- Wagner Moura, Secret Agent
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
- Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy
- Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme
Best Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role - Motion Picture
- Amy Madigan, Weapons
Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role – Motion Picture
- Stellan Skarsgard, Sentimental Value
Best Director
- Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
Best Screenplay
- One Battle After Another
Best Original Score
- Sinners
Best Original Song
- “Golden”, KPop Demon Hunters
2026 Golden Globes: times, how to watch in the U.S.
Hosted by comedian Nikki Glaser - for the second year in a row - the 83rd Golden Globes are to take place at the Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California, on Sunday, Jan. 11, 2026.
The gala will air from 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT. Viewers in the U.S. can watch on CBS and stream on Paramount+. Your streaming options also include fubo, which offers new users a free, introductory trial.
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