Who will win the race in Colorado between Boebert vs Frisch? This race could win the GOP the House
Lauren Boebert, a Trump-backed election denier, leads Democrat Adam Frisch in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District. Could Frisch make up the difference?
Lauren Boebert, the Republican incumbent in Colorado’s 3rd Congressional District, faced a much more challenging re-election campaign than many expected.
Boebert currently leads by 0.35 percent, and with more than ninety-five of the vote counted, it may come down to cured and provisional ballots. Some analysts, like Andrew Kenney with Colorado Public Radio, have pointed out that Democratic turnout was higher statewide than it was in CO-3, which may cost Democrats the race.
Missed opportunity? Democratic turnout is slightly lagging in the CO-3 counties where Frisch is challenging Boebert.
— Andrew Kenney (@AndyKnny) November 15, 2022
Turnout in CO-3 counties is running at about 72.9% of active Democratic voters, compared to 73.2% statewide.
That gap would have been worth about 500 votes. pic.twitter.com/fgbkXvCdTc
How many more votes need to be counted?
It is unclear how many ballots still need to be processed. Late last week, election officials estimated that a few thousand ballots still need to be counted, as some were mailed on election day. “There’s certainly a path to victory,” said Boebert spokesperson Ben Stout, “We certainly didn’t think it was gonna be a blowout.”
Both campaigns have been focused on getting their voters to “cure” their ballots. A ballot must be cured when the signature does not match the one used when registering to vote. County officials across the state have been making calls to voters so that they know to come in and cure their ballot to ensure it is counted.
Additionally, counties have until Wednesday to accept ballots for members of the military of residents abroad, which could shift the state of the race. For those eagerly anticipating the results of this race, we may not find any more information until later this week.
Could there be a recount?
Under Colorado law, a recall occurs when the margin of victory is less than or equal to 0.5 percent. At present, the gap is 0.35%. If Boebert and Frisch maintain their current leads, the Congresswoman is likely to win, but if the final ballots arrive favor her competitor, the Democrats may manage to flip the seat.
A win in CO-3 would secure the GOP majority in the House, but only time will tell if this or the remaining races in California are the determining factor in who takes control in the 118th Congress.