Does the coin flip predict the winner of the Super Bowl?

Regarding the NFL coin toss, the expression fifty-fifty doesn’t hold water. One might think that each team has the same exact chance of winning the most important football game of the year, but that coin toss can define who will take home that Lombard Trophy at the end of the night.

Those who take to Vegas and study each little detail of a game to place their bets will look at that coin toss more carefully than your average fan. After 56 Super Bowls, those who love numbers have enough data to forecast who will win, from just heads or tail toss.

Who will win from just the coin toss at the Super Bowl?

Of the 56 Super Bowls that have been played so far, teams who won the coin toss have been able to win the game 28 times while losing 32 times.

The longest streak for the Super Bowl coin toss winner losing the game has been nine.

The Chiefs might not want to hear this stat as they won the coin toss.

Heads or tails, which side has the winning edge?

There has been a tiny 29-27 margin for tails in Super Bowl coin tosses. Tails have been on top for the past few years, winning six of the last nine.

Flipping a coin five years in a row and getting the same result is very unlikely; the chance is only 3%. However, from 2009 to 2013, heads won five times in a row, the most of the two sides of the coin.

As a rule of thumb, don’t win the coin toss.