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Jaguars - Bills betting trends: Pick, odds, point spread and over/under prediction | Monday Night Football

The Jaguars will be looking to register their first win, while the Bills will be trying to make it three in a row in this AFC clash. Here are your odds.

Mike EhrmannAFP

Fresh off of a 31-10 drubbing of the Miami Dolphins, the Buffalo Bills will be fancying their chances of moving to 3-0 when they come against the Jacksonville Jaguars on Monday Night Football after the Jags fell to an 18-13 loss against the Cleveland Browns last Sunday. Kickoff from Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York, is set for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Jaguars - Bills: The lay of the land

It would be fair to say that Bills quarterback Josh Allen has started the 2024 NFL season with a bang. So far, the 28-year-old has completed 31 of 42 passes (73.8%) for 371 yards and three touchdowns for a 124.2 rating. In addition to that, Allen has also rushed 11 times for 41 yards (3.7 average) and two TDs. Now in his 7th season with the Bills, the former first-round pick (2018) has established himself as one of the league’s elite signal callers, throwing for 4,000 yards in each of the past four seasons and no less than 29 touchdowns during that period. Indeed, it’s highly likely that Allen’s performance will go a long way to determining how this one goes, making this a perfect time to address the odds in this one - see them below.

  • Jaguars vs. Bills spread: Buffalo -5.5
  • Jaguars vs. Bills over-under: 45.5 points
  • Jaguars vs. Bills money line: Buffalo -249, Jacksonville +203
  • JAC: Jaguars have covered the third-quarter spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.75 units)
  • BUF: Bills have hit the third-quarter money line in 11 of their last 19 games

Of course, Allen isn’t the only weapon the Bills possess. Mention must also be made of running back James Cook. The Bills’ main threat on the ground has carried 30 times for 149 yards (5.0 average) and two touchdowns this season. From a memorable 49-yard run to the eight first downs that he’s secured, the third-year player has made his mark this season. On top of that, he has also proven himself to be a reliable pass catch, notching four receptions for 49 yards and one touchdown this season.

On the other side of the divide, we’ve got another talented quarterback who is now in his fourth year in the NFL: Trevor Lawrence. In each of the last two seasons Lawrence has thrown more than 4,000 yards, however, unlike his opponent on Monday night, hasn’t had a prolific start to the campaign. In his last two games, the Jags’ signal caller as only managed to complete just 26 of 51 passes (51%) for 382 yards. There were also three caries to the tune of 53 yards. In total, Lawrence has 52 games in the league under his belt with a completion rate of 63.4% for 12,152 yards and 59 touchdowns. In that time he’s registered 39 interceptions.

Ultimately, if the Jaguars are to get back to winning ways, it will require more than Lawrence’s arm which brings us to the arsenal at his disposal and players like first-round draft pick Brian Thomas Jr. who has been impressive despite he team’s current record of 0-3. At present, Thomas leads the team with 141 yards receiving on six catches (23.5 average) and one score. Among those catches, we’ve seen two for more than 20 yards and one for 66 yards which turned heads. He has two explosive catches of 20 or more yards, including a long of 66 yards. He has also converted five first downs. So, how does this one play out? While it would be reasonable to place your faith in the Bills, the trends are all pointing toward the Jaguars for an upset in this one, and to that end, we’re backing it to be so. Don’t miss it!

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