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Lions - Packers odds and predictions: Who is the favorite in the NFL Thursday Night game?

In the upcoming football match at Lambeau Field, the Detroit Lions are preparing against the Green Bay Packers, who have historically dominated the matchup.

Jared Goff #16 of the Detroit Lions celebrates with teammates

The numbers don’t lie - Green Bay has secured victory in an impressive 26 out of their last 30 home encounters with the Lions. However, as the odds take an unexpected turn, the Lions emerge as the betting favorites in their clash with the Packers.

Detroit Lions

As the NFL Week 4 Thursday Night Football game approaches, the Lions are 1.5-point favorites on the road against Green Bay. This marks only the sixth occasion since 1986 that Detroit enters Lambeau Field with the odds in their favor. From the Lions’ perspective, this represents an enticing opportunity to defy the odds and take a metaphorical “Lambeau leap” towards victory.

A closer look at recent history reveals that the Lions have performed admirably as away favorites in Green Bay. They boast a remarkable 4-1 record against the spread in their last five visits to Lambeau Field when they held the role of the betting favorites. This track record underscores the Lions’ capacity to perform under pressure and challenges the prevailing narrative of Packers dominance on home turf.

While past statistics may favor the Packers, the Lions are determined to script a new chapter in this storied rivalry. With the odds tipping in their favor, Detroit aims to make a resounding statement on Thursday night, potentially altering the course of history at Lambeau Field.

Green Bay Packers

The Green Bay Packers are facing uncertainty regarding two of their key skill players, RB Aaron Jones (hamstring) and WR Christian Watson (hamstring), as they may or may not be able to play in the Thursday Night Football (TNF) game against the Lions. Both players are listed as questionable in the Packers’ injury report. Watson has been out the entire season, while Jones has been inactive for the past two weeks and has only been limited in practice this week. However, reports suggest that both players are likely to play.

It’s worth noting that the Packers have struggled to run the ball this season, averaging just 3.0 yards per carry, the fifth-worst in the NFL. Conversely, the Lions have been one of the best teams at defending the run this season, allowing just 3.2 yards per carry, tied for the fourth-best in the league.

In the red zone, the Packers have primarily relied on their passing game, throwing the ball 62.1% of the time, the fourth-highest in the NFL. On the other hand, the Lions have struggled to defend against the pass in the red zone, allowing four receiving touchdowns, which is tied for the fifth-most in the league.

It’s worth noting that the Packers have been successful in the red zone when passing the ball, having scored five receiving touchdowns, which is currently the most in the NFL. However, the Lions have struggled to defend against the pass in the red zone, allowing four receiving touchdowns, tied for the fifth-most in the league.

Lions - Packers odds and predictions

The Green Bay Packers have had a phenomenal start to the season, with a perfect 3-0 ATS record, which is a feat only three teams in the league can boast about. Their strong performance is not limited to the current season, as they have a remarkable record of 7-1 ATS in their last eight games, which is an impressive feat for any team. Additionally, the Packers have been outstanding as a home underdog, with a league-leading 3-0 ATS record since the start of the 2021 season.

Despite the Packers’ impressive performance, the Detroit Lions have been the NFL kings of covering under the leadership of Campbell. The Lions have an exceptional record of 25-12 (67.6%) ATS under his guidance, which is the best in the league. Even more impressive is that the Lions have been victorious even when playing away, with a record of 11-7 ATS over the same period. This makes the Lions a team to watch in the upcoming games.

Lions vs Packers Picks: Detroit Lions -1.5 (-110)