The clear favorite in the lightweight title fight on June 28 in Las Vegas between Topuria and Oliveira
The Spanish-Georgian will face the Brazilian for the lightweight belt on June 28 in Las Vegas, and the early betting odds have been revealed.

After months of uncertainty, UFC president Dana White has made it official: Ilia Topuria will face Charles Oliveira for the lightweight title on June 28 at UFC 317 in Las Vegas. And according to the oddsmakers, there’s no doubt who they believe will come out on top - El Matador.
What are the odds for Topuria vs Oliveira?
The betting lines leave little room for doubt. While the Brazilian opens at 4.40, the Spanish-Georgian fighter comes in at just 1.20. Topuria’s recent run of emphatic wins has firmly installed him as the favorite.
Soon after White confirmed the matchup between the two former champions, sportsbooks across the U.S. released their odds. In American betting lines, Topuria is a strong favorite at –400. Oliveira, on the other hand, is seen as a clear underdog, with odds of +300.
Ilia Topuria es gran favorito en las apuestas para su pelea de título del peso ligero ante Charles Oliveira #UFC317 pic.twitter.com/29xKHgvAZO
— Pelunaton (@pelunaton) May 14, 2025
These figures may shift slightly as the fight approaches, though significant movement is not expected. Topuria’s back-to-back knockouts – against fighters who had never previously been stopped, Alexander Volkanovski and Max Holloway – have done much to cement his status heading into this bout. Oliveira also comes in off a win against Michael Chandler, but his recent loss to Arman Tsarukyan still lingers in fans’ minds.
Why Topuria vs Oliveira now?
The fight was only made possible after Islam Makhachev opted not to defend the belt, having waited to see whether his close friend Belal Muhammad would successfully defend his welterweight title before potentially moving up a division. With that delay finally behind them, the vacant lightweight belt will now be up for grabs between Topuria and Oliveira – a bout that fans have been eagerly awaiting, even if the odds are already tilted in one direction.
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