The percentage chance each team has to qualify for the NFL playoffs ahead of Week 17
The regular season is nearing its end, with playoff positions still up for grabs and the race is tightening as Super Bowl dreams remain alive.

There is an intense battle for the remaining tickets to the 2025–26 NFL playoffs, turning every weekend of this final stretch of the regular season into an emotional roller coaster for fans of the sport.
Teams are clinging to the hope of reaching Super Bowl LX, which will be played at Levi’s Stadium – home of the San Francisco 49ers – in Santa Clara, California, on February 8, 2026, with the chance to lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy.
Several divisions still up for grabs with 2 weeks left 🍿 pic.twitter.com/RYlIxoA4wa
— NFL (@NFL) December 23, 2025
How the NFC playoff field would look if the season ended today
With two weeks left on the regular-season schedule, the NFC picture would see the Seattle Seahawks as the No. 1 seed in the conference with a 12–3 record. The Chicago Bears are close behind at 11–4 after a strong late-season surge, while the Philadelphia Eagles sit third overall, having already clinched the NFC East title. These are the current division leaders in the NFC:
- Seattle Seahawks (12-3) | NFC West
- Chicago Bears (11-4) | NFC North
- Philadelphia Eagles (10-5) | NFC East
- Carolina Panthers (8-7) | NFC South
Earned our spot. pic.twitter.com/A6FA6UXg2h
— x - Los Angeles Rams (@RamsNFL) December 15, 2025
For now, seven teams have already fallen short in the race for a playoff spot: the Minnesota Vikings, Dallas Cowboys, Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints, Washington Commanders, Arizona Cardinals, and New York Giants.
| Divisional Leaders | Wild Card Positions | In the Fight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - Seattle Seahawks (12-3) NFC West QUALIFIED | 5 - San Francisco 49ers (11-4) | NFC West QUALIFIED | 8 - Detroit Lions (8-7) | NFC North 7% chance to advance |
| 2 - Chicago Bears (11-4) | NFC North QUALIFIED | 6 - Los Angeles Rams (11-4) | NFC West QUALIFIED | 9 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-8) | NFC South 57% chance of advancing |
| 3 - Philadelphia Eagles (10-5) | NFC East QUALIFIED | 7 - Green Bay Packers (9-5-1) | NFC North 93% chance of advancing | |
| 4 - Carolina Panthers (8-7) | NFC South 43% chance to advance |
The @ChicagoBears are going to the #NFLPlayoffs!@budlight #ForTheCelly pic.twitter.com/nRdg4OZQGo
— NFL (@NFL) December 22, 2025
How the AFC playoff field would look if the season ended today
In the AFC, the Denver Broncos remain the top seed in the conference, holding a 12–3 record, while the New England Patriots are still firmly in the hunt and sit in second place, also at 12–3. These are the current division leaders in the American Football Conference:
- Denver Broncos (12-3) | AFC West
- New England Patriots (12-3) | AFC East
- Jacksonville Jaguars (11-4) | AFC South
- Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6) | AFC North
The @Broncos clinch the first AFC Playoff spot! #NFLPlayoffs #ForTheCelly @budlight pic.twitter.com/BNzirDQHPN
— NFL (@NFL) December 15, 2025
In the AFC, just like in the other conference, seven teams have already been eliminated from playoff contention: the Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Cincinnati Bengals, New York Jets, Tennessee Titans, Cleveland Browns, and Las Vegas Raiders.
| Divisional Leaders | Wild Card Positions | In the Fight |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - Denver Broncos (12-3) | AFC West QUALIFIED | 5 - Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) | AFC West QUALIFIED | 8 - Indianapolis Colts (8-7) | AFC South 3% chance to advance |
| 2 - New England Patriots (12-3) | AFC East QUALIFIED | 6 - Buffalo Bills (11-4) | AFC East QUALIFIED | 9 - Baltimore Ravens (7-8) | AFC North 9% chance to advance |
| 3 - Jacksonville Jaguars (11-4) | AFC South QUALIFIED | 7 - Houston Texans (10-5) | AFC South 97% chance of advancing | |
| 4 - Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6) | AFC North 91% chance of advancing |
The @49ers are back in the #NFLPlayoffs! @budlight #ForTheCelly pic.twitter.com/2ri5KooQHm
— NFL (@NFL) December 22, 2025
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