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Liga MX Clausura 2023 preview: Who are the favorites to win? América, Chivas, Pachuca...

The Liga MX Clausura 2023 gets underway on Friday. We take a look at the teams who are the favourites with the betting houses to lift the title.

Edgardo Avelar
Ciudad de MéxicoUpdate:
Champion Medals during the game Atletico Morelia vs Cimarrones FC, corresponding to second leg match the great Final of the Torneo Clausura Grita Mexico C22 of the Liga de Expansion MX, at Morelos Stadium, on May 14, 2022.


Medalla de Campeon durante el partido Atletico Morelia vs Cimarrones FC, correspondiente al partido de vuelta de la Gran Final del Torneo Clausura Grita Mexico C22 de la Liga de Expansion MX, en el Estadio Morelos, el 14 de Mayo de 2022.
Isaac Ortiz

The wait is almost over - on Friday 6 January, the Liga MX returns with the first fixtures of the Clausura 2023. Clubs have been busy rebuilding or modifying their squads since the conclusion of the Qatar World Cup last month with expectation on the rise for the new tournament about to get underway and the teams that could be vying for the title in May.

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Monterrey, América, Tigres and Pachuca start out as the big favourites to lift the Clausura 2023 trophy, at least according to portal, which complies and analyses statistics and data. According to their calculations, Monterrey is the team most likely to be crowned champions with a 22% probability. The Albiazules last clinched the Clausura in 2003 after beating Morelia over two legs in the final. The Tigres ended the 2022 Apertura regular season in second place but were eliminated in the semi-finals by eventual winners, Pachuca.

Possibility of becoming Clausura 2023 champions (

  • Monterrey 22 %
  • América 17 %
  • Tigres 16 %
  • Pachuca 9 %
  • Santos 7 %
  • Cruz Azul 6 %
  • Guadalajara 5 %
  • Atlas 5 %
  • León 3 %
  • Puebla 2 %
  • San Luis 1 %
  • Necaxa 1 %
  • Pumas 1 %
  • Toluca 1 %
  • Mazatlán 1 %
  • Tijuana s/p
  • Querétaro s/p
  • Juárez s/p

However, opinions are divided as to who will be proclaimed champions of the Clausura 2023. As far as betting portal is concerned, América are the odds-on favourites to land what would be their 14th title. Tano Ortiz’s team, who also crashed out of the Apertura 2022 at the semis, is at +350 to become champions. They have Pachuca at +450, Monterrey at +650, Tigres at +800 and Toluca at +1100. It’s interesting to note that Chivas and Cruz Azul are at +1200 to win, while a $100 bet on Pumas would rake in $2000 winngs shoukld Rafael Puente Jr’s team go all the way.

Clausura 2023 predictions (

  • América +350
  • Pachuca +450
  • Monterrey +650
  • Tigres +800
  • Toluca +1100

Another portal Statiskicks have run 10,000 pre-tournament simulations which revealed América as regular season champions, topping the table ahead of Monterrey, Pachuca and Tigres as the four teams who will qualify directly for the Liguilla.

What is clear is that there will be a handful of clubs who will be aiming to win the Clausura 2023 and bring some happiness to their fans - especially those who have gone several years without silverware, such as Toluca and Pumas, who have gone over a decade without winning a trophy. Others will be motivated for other reasons - for example Apertura 2022 winners Pachuca, who will be striving to become just the fourth club to be crowned back-to-back champions since the short tournament format began.

As in recent years, América, Chivas and Cruz Azul feature among those expected to go far. Necaxa and Atlético San Luis get the Liga MX Clausura 2023 action underway at Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes on Friday (kick-off: 19:00 hours local time) with Monterrey taking on Chivas in the pick of the fixtures the following day. Following the Liga MX Clausura 2023 on television won’t be straightforward however - only two games will be broadcast live in Mexico while the remainder of the games will be available through various different cable and streaming services such as such as TUDN, ViX, ESPN Fanatiz Mexico and in the US through fuboTV.

Liga MX Clausura big game dates

The Clásico Nacional between América and Chivas takes place on 18 March just a couple of hours after Tigres face Monterrey in the Clásico Regio. The date for this year’s Clásico Tapatío between Chivas and Atlas has been set for 1 April at Estadio Jalisco. Cruz Azul and América will contest the Clásico Joven on 15 April; America play host to Pumas in the Clásico Capitalino on 22 April.


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