What were the odds for Tottenham and West Ham to be relegated before the 2025-26 Premier League season?

Back in August, the idea of Tottenham Hotspur and West Ham United being dragged into a relegation fight sounded, to many, ridiculous.

Fast forward to the final day of the 2025-26 Premier League season and it suddenly looks a lot less funny.

With all 10 games kicking off simultaneously at 11 a.m. ET on Sunday, Spurs head into the finale sitting 17th on 38 points, while West Ham are 18th and currently in the relegation zone on 36 points. The Hammers must win and hope the Lily Whites lose to survive.

But the warning signs were there before the season even began.

What were Spurs’ odds to be relegated?

Before a ball was kicked, Tottenham were priced at +3500 to be relegated. Those were still long odds, of course, but significantly shorter than the league’s true elite.

Liverpool and Arsenal both opened at +50000 to go down. Chelsea, Newcastle and Aston Villa were all at +15000. Spurs were sitting in a strange middle ground where bookmakers clearly believed there was real volatility around the club.

At the same time, Tottenham were also +500 for a top-four finish and +150 for the top six, perfectly capturing how unpredictable they looked entering the campaign.

That unpredictability became reality.

Spurs head into the final day with just nine wins in 37 games, a minus-10 goal difference and only those 38 points. Despite flashes of quality, they never escaped the feeling that a collapse was lurking around the corner.

What were West Ham’s odds to be relegated?

The market was much harsher on West Ham from the beginning.

The Hammers opened at +550 for relegation, making them the sixth-most likely club to go down before the season started. At the time, that felt dramatic for a team with recent European pedigree and a squad packed with experienced Premier League players.

Now? It looks almost generous.

West Ham arrive on the final day in the bottom three after losing 19 of their 37 games. Only Burnley and Wolves have picked up fewer points and are long gone. Their defense has completely unraveled too, conceding 65 goals, the fourth-worst record in the league.

The preseason concerns ended up becoming reality: an aging squad and inconsistency in attack.

Premier League final-day chaos for two teams

What makes the situation so remarkable is how different the table looks compared to preseason expectations.

Arsenal already have the title wrapped up on 82 points, while Manchester City, Manchester United and Aston Villa have locked up Champions League spots. Liverpool, expected to challenge for the crown after a huge summer of spending, are down in fifth and, could still mathematically miss out on the Champions League.

Meanwhile Sunderland, tipped by many to go straight back down, are safely in 10th place with 51 points.

At the bottom, Burnley and Wolves are already relegated. The final survival battle now centers on West Ham and whether Spurs can avoid completing one of the most shocking collapses in modern Premier League history.

Because months ago, the betting markets hinted something strange might happen.

Almost nobody believed them.

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