World Cup 2026

5 historical coincidences are pointing to an Argentina win in the 2026 World Cup

Argentina has never needed much encouragement when it comes to cábalas, and fans have found plenty of reasons to believe history is lining up once again.

Argentina has never needed much encouragement when it comes to cábalas, and fans have found plenty of reasons to believe history is lining up once again.
Amanda Perobelli
Calum Roche
Managing Editor AS USA
Sports-lover turned journalist, born and bred in Scotland, with a passion for football (soccer). He’s also a keen follower of NFL, NBA, golf and tennis, among others, and always has an eye on the latest in science, tech and current affairs. As Managing Editor at AS USA, uses background in operations and marketing to drive improvements for reader satisfaction.
Update:

There are superstitious soccer fans, and then there are Argentine soccer fans.

Lucky shirts are left unwashed. Friends sit in the exact same seat every game. People refuse to change bars if the team keeps winning. In Argentina, cábalas aren’t a quirky side note. They’re practically part of the tactical plan.

So, naturally, with Lionel Messi (who has his own routines) and co. one game away from another World Cup title, supporters have been digging through history looking for signs that the stars are aligned once again.

None of these prove anything, of course. Spain won’t care about numerical patterns or lucky jackets.

But don’t tell that to Argentina.

Why do Argentina fans think history is repeating itself?

Some of these coincidences have been circulating among supporters for months. Others only became possible once Argentina reached another World Cup final.

1. The remarkable 36-year cycle lives on

This is the one that believers keep coming back to.

Argentina reached the World Cup final in 1978.

Thirty-six years later, they reached another in 2014.

They won the World Cup in 1986.

5 historical coincidences are pointing to an Argentina win in the 2026 World Cup
1986 FIFA World Cup in Mexico Final in Mexico City: Argentina 3 - 2 Germany - Argentine captain Diego Maradona with the World Cup trophy.ullstein bild

Thirty-six years later, they lifted the trophy again in 2022.

They also reached the final in 1990.

And now, exactly 36 years later, they’re back in another final in 2026.

The pattern never guaranteed a title. It only predicted another appearance in the final. But once that part came true, plenty of fans decided the rest might as well follow.

2. The 12-year redemption rule

This one is harder to dismiss. Stick with me...

Italy lost the 1994 World Cup final before becoming champions 12 years later in 2006.

Germany lost the 2002 final before lifting the trophy exactly 12 years later in 2014.

Argentina lost the 2014 final to Germany.

Twelve years later...

Welcome to 2026.

It’s a wonderfully neat sequence and, if you’re looking for omens rather than logic, perhaps the strongest argument of them all.

3. Canada keeps turning up when Argentina win

Canada are hardly regulars at the men’s World Cup. Before this tournament, they had qualified only twice: in 1986 and again in 2022.

Argentina won both tournaments.

5 historical coincidences are pointing to an Argentina win in the 2026 World Cup
Canada fans march to the Stadium.Chris Helgren

Now Canada have returned for 2026, this time as one of the co-hosts.

Maybe it’s coincidence. Or maybe Canada are secretly Argentina’s lucky charm.

Current ‘superstitions’ for Argentina?

Not all of them involve events from decades ago.

Some, like Messi’s in the intro, are happening right now.

4. Javier Milei refuses to break the ritual

Argentina’s president has watched every victory at this World Cup from the presidential residence in Olivos while wearing the same YPF oil-company jacket.

He’s sticking with it.

Rather than attend the final in person, Javier Milei is reportedly staying away because he doesn’t want to interrupt the routine.

5 historical coincidences are pointing to an Argentina win in the 2026 World Cup
Javier Milei at the Madrid Economic ForumMadrid Economic Forum

That fits perfectly with Argentina’s long tradition of cábalas, and even echoes the old belief that presidential attendance can bring bad luck, a superstition that gained traction after Carlos Menem was blamed by some fans for jinxing Argentina’s shock defeat to Cameroon at Italia ’90.

5. They’re dressing exactly like they did in Qatar

Lionel Scaloni’s side will wear the same combination that accompanied them to glory in Qatar. That means the famous sky-blue-and-white striped shirt, white shorts and white socks, while Emiliano “Dibu” Martínez is expected to wear green.

It’s just a uniform, of course.

Unless you believe in cábalas.

In that case, changing something that worked last time out would surely be a truly reckless decision.

Oh, and don’t think there isn’t a bunch of equivalent reasons to think history is on Spain’s side too!

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