NBA

NBA reveals which team has the toughest start to 2026

The schedules for January 2026 have been analysed, and one team certainly has it tougher than others.

The schedules for January 2026 have been analysed, and one team certainly has it tougher than others.
LUKE HALES
Joe Brennan
Born in Leeds, Joe finished his Spanish degree in 2018 before becoming an English teacher to football (soccer) players and managers, as well as collaborating with various football media outlets in English and Spanish. He joined AS in 2022 and covers both the men’s and women’s game across Europe and beyond.
Update:

Full of feelings of excitement and potential dread, the NBA calendar has flipped seamlessly into January 2026. Each franchise faces a different road up ahead, and the toughness of those upcoming games could shape playoff hopes and narrative momentum across the league.

Boffins in white coats who hurriedly scuttle around like beetles throughout the labyrinthian network of centuries-old tunnels deep underneath NBA HQ, have developed ways to gauge which teams are tested and which might enjoy a more forgiving slate of fixtures from the unforgiving computer.

At the top of what I’m going to call The NBA Accurate Reciprocal System of Equality (or ARSE for short) sit the Sacramento Kings, whose January opponents boast the highest combined win rate in the league. What’s worse is that the same metric has them at the top of December 2025’s difficulty listing.

A total of 10 of their first 12 games are at home, but they end the month by visiting five of the top eight teams in the Eastern Conference, a freak run that has skewed their numbers and given them the unwanted title.

Nearly 13 of their 17 opponents enter the month above .500, presenting a gauntlet of Herculean proportions that will truly test Sacramento’s resilience. Trailing closely are the Indiana Pacers, Phoenix Suns and Cleveland Cavaliers, all of whom have challenging lists filled with quality teams clustered around the playoff picture.

The Kings’ tough schedule could slow their climb in the standings unless they find consistency on both ends of the court. Indiana’s rough draw, despite a struggling record, includes a long road trip and several matchups against teams fighting for seeding positioning.

NBA's 'difficulty rankings' for January 2026:

TeamOppPCT
Sacramento Kings.555
Indiana Pacers.553
Phoenix Suns.545
Cleveland Cavaliers.540
Memphis Grizzlies.539
Milwaukee Bucks.535
Minnesota Timberwolves.534
New Orleans Pelicans.533
Miami Heat.527
Portland Trail Blazers.525
Charlotte Hornets.502
Houston Rockets.502
Atlanta Hawks.500
Golden State Warriors.499
Dallas Mavericks.499
Utah Jazz.495
Toronto Raptors.494
San Antonio Spurs.494
Brooklyn Nets.494
Detroit Pistons.492
Chicago Bulls.489
LA Clippers.487
Oklahoma City Thunder.485
Philadelphia 76ers.476
Washington Wizards.465
New York Knicks.461
Boston Celtics.445
Los Angeles Lakers.436
Denver Nuggets.428
Orlando Magic.421


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Phoenix also face a demanding stretch, beginning January with several games away from home and against upper-tier competition, a test that could be pivotal for their postseason push.

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