Oscars

Oscars 2025 odds and predictions: what do the bookies say about the favorites to win?

Big-name stars including Adrien Brody, Timothée Chalamet and Demi Moore are hoping to take home Academy Awards. What are there chances of doing so?

Adrien Brody hizo historia al ganar el Oscar a mejor actor a los 29 años. Ahora, busca su segunda estatuilla con ‘The Brutalist’.
Mario Anzuoni
Roddy Cons
Scottish sports journalist and content creator. After running his own soccer-related projects, in 2022 he joined Diario AS, where he mainly reports on the biggest news from around Europe’s leading soccer clubs, Liga MX and MLS, and covers live games in a not-too-serious tone. Likes to mix things up by dipping into the world of American sports.
Update:

Follow all the information on the 2025 Oscars

The 97th Academy Awards, AKA the 2025 Oscars, are just around the corner, with the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood, Los Angeles ready to welcome the biggest names from the world of cinema on Sunday (March 2).

As tends to be the case each year, much of the pre-ceremony speculation and predictions focus on the “main” categories, particularly Best Picture, Best Directing, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor and Best Supporting Actress.

The controversial “Emilia Pérez” leads the way in terms of nominations with 13, while big names actors and actresses Adrien Brody, Timothée Chalamet and Demi Moore are all hoping to take home a statuette.

But what are their chances of doing so? This is how the bookmakers sees things playing out, according to comparison site Oddschecker.

Oscars 2025 main category favorites

Best Picture

There appears to be relatively little doubt that “Anora,” a comedy drama directed by Sean Baker, will be named Best Picture. It has odds of -190, with “The Brutalist” its nearest challenger at +650.

"Dune: Part 2" 
"I'm Still Here" 
"Anora" - FAVORITE
"The Brutalist" 
"Conclave" 
"A Complete Unknown" 
"Wicked" 
"The Substance"
"Emilia Pérez" 
"Nickel Boys"

Best Director

Baker could be set to do the Best Picture-Best Director double, although his odds of -175 in the latter category don’t put him all that far ahead of “The Brutalist” director Brady Corbet (+145).

  • Sean Baker - "Anora" - FAVORITE
  • Brady Corbet - "The Brutalist"
  • James Mangold - "A Complete Unknown"
  • Jacques Audiard - "Emilia Pérez"
  • Coralie Fargeat - "The Substance"

Best Actor

Adrien Brody (-167) is being tipped to win his second Oscar for Best Actor, 23 years after his first. However, “The Brutalist” star could be challenged by Timothée Chalamet (+185), who has some hope of claiming a first Academy Award.

  • Adrien Brody - "The Brutalist" - FAVORITE
  • Timothée Chalamet - "A Complete Unknown"
  • Colman Domingo - "Sing Sing"
  • Ralph Fiennes - "Conclave"
  • Sebastian Stan - "The Apprentice"

Best Actress

Although plenty of critics have tipped “Anora” star Mikey Maddison (+225) to take home the Best Actress prize, veteran A-lister Demi Moore (-240) is the bookies' favourite for her performance in “The Substance”.

  • Cynthia Erivo - "Wicked"
  • Karla Sofía Gascón - "Emilia Pérez"
  • Mikey Madison - "Anora"
  • Demi Moore - "The Substance" - FAVORITE
  • Fernanda Torres - "I'm Still Here"

Best Supporting Actor

This one appears to be a one-horse race, which will be won by Kieran Culkin (-1667) for “A Real Pain”. The second “favorite,” if we can call him that, is Edward Norton, all the way back at +1600.

  • Yura Borisov - "Anora"
  • Kieran Culkin - "A Real Pain" - FAVORITE
  • Edward Norton - "A Complete Unknown"
  • Guy Pearce - "The Brutalist"
  • Jeremy Strong - "The Apprentice"

Best Supporting Actress

“Emilia Pérez” actress Zoe Saldana (-1100) isn’t quite as big a favorite to win an Oscar as Culkin, but is the red-hot favorite to do so ahead of “Wicked” singer-turned-actress Ariana Grande (+1000).

  • Monica Barbaro - "A Complete Unknown"
  • Ariana Grande - "Wicked"
  • Felicity Jones - "The Brutalist"
  • Isabella Rossellini - "Conclave"
  • Zoe Saldaña - "Emilia Pérez" - FAVORITE
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